VanEck: US Bitcoin Reserve Could Offset $21 Trillion in National Debt by 2049

Investment firm VanEck has proposed a US Bitcoin reserve as a potential solution to the country’s growing national debt, estimating that accumulating 1 million BTC by 2029 could offset 18% of US debt by 2049.

Bitcoin as a Strategic Asset?

• US debt is projected to rise from $36 trillion (2025) to $116 trillion (2049) at a 5% annual growth rate.
• If Bitcoin appreciates 25% annually, it could reach $21 million per BTC by 2049.
• A 1 million BTC reserve could then be worth $21 trillion, helping to stabilize the US financial system.

Support from US Lawmakers

• Senator Cynthia Lummis, a strong Bitcoin advocate, backed VanEck’s research, emphasizing BTC’s role in fiscal resilience.
• However, analysts caution about Bitcoin’s volatility, and VanEck stresses that these projections are not financial advice.

Global Central Banks Weigh Bitcoin Reserves

• Czech National Bank is studying Bitcoin’s viability as a reserve asset.
• Germany’s Bundesbank & ECB remain skeptical, citing liquidity risks.

While Bitcoin’s role in sovereign finance remains uncertain, discussions on its integration into national reserves continue to gain momentum.