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Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in the West Philippine Sea, the issue does not dominate the concerns of foreign investors considering opportunities in the Philippines, according to global consultancy firm Bain & Company. This perspective was shared by Bain’s CEO, Manny Maceda, during a briefing with reporters as part of the Friends, Allies, Partners Program in San Francisco.
Maceda emphasized that while the South China Sea dispute, involving multiple countries including China and the Philippines, is a factor in investment decisions, it is not the predominant concern. “Most international investors are just looking at the [South] China Sea [issue] as one of many factors they have to consider in case you make an investment,” he stated. The region is crucial, not only geopolitically but also economically, as a conduit for over $3 trillion in annual ship commerce.
Investors typically engage in scenario planning to prepare for various potential future scenarios, thus mitigating risks associated with geopolitical tensions. This strategic planning helps them balance potential upsides against possible risks. Maceda clarified that issues like the West Philippine Sea are considered, but they are “second order” factors—important but not decisive on their own.
Despite the regional disputes, the Philippines continues to be seen as an attractive destination for investments, largely due to its robust economic growth, favorable demographics, and a burgeoning digital economy. Maceda highlighted the country’s potential, particularly as a vibrant place for the supply chain and talent acquisition.
Maceda pointed out that for the Philippines to fully capitalize on its investment potential, there needs to be a conducive ecosystem for venture capital and startup incubation. “You need capital sources, need a venture capital ecosystem, incubators to feed and grow entrepreneurs, need good technological, technical talent, you need engineers,” he explained. This infrastructure is crucial for nurturing innovation and entrepreneurship, which are vital for sustained economic growth.
The insights from Bain & Company’s CEO reflect a broader perspective within the global investment community, which views geopolitical issues like those in the West Philippine Sea as just one of several factors in their comprehensive investment decision-making process. This approach underscores the nuanced considerations that guide international capital flows into emerging markets like the Philippines.
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